Compounded Returns (Year 2000-2022): Our Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of our SMT.IND System is +14.0% DIA, +13.5% SPY, and +19.3% QQQ. The CAGR of the buy-and-hold strategy is +4.7% DIA, +4.3% SPY, and +5.0% QQQ. We are outperforming the buy-and-hold strategy year after year by +9.3% DIA, +11.1% SPY, and +14.3% QQQ.
Members profited +16.5% QQQ in 2021 and +49.1% QQQ in 2020. We have been significantly outperforming the market over the long term. Due to the success of our system, a record number of subscribers are signing up to our services!
Arithmetic Computation Individual Trades (Year 2023):
(Excel, PDF)
SMT.IND System (Intraday, Year 2000 - Present):
CAGR of each ETF: +14.0% DIA, +13.5% SPY, and +19.3% QQQ
Buy-and-Hold: +4.7% DIA, +4.3% SPY, and +5.0% QQQ
CAGR Individual Trades (Year 2000 - Present) (Excel, PDF)
CAGR Performance Summary Tables & Charts (Excel, PDF)
 Report 1, Report 2 |
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TimerTrac Verification
The following chart shows our returns for each ETF since inception (year 2001) vs. the buy-and-hold strategy of investing.
Trading Statistics
Definition of headings in the tables below (each row/line relates to a specific year):
• No. of Trades – total number of trades
• Long – number of long positions
• Cash – number of hold cash positions
• Short – number of short positions
• Avg. Trading Period Gain – the average percentage gain of the profitable trades
• Avg Trading Period Loss – the average percentage loss of the nonprofitable trades
• No. of Gain Periods – the number of trades that were profitable
• No. of Loss Periods – the number of trades that were nonprofitable
• Largest Trading Period Gains – the largest percentage profitable trade
• Largest Trading Period Losses – the largest percentage nonprofitable trade
• Yearly Return – percentage sum of of all profitable and nonprofitable trades
| Year | # of Trades | Long | Cash | Short | Avg. Trading Period Gain | Avg. Trading Period Loss | # of Gain Periods | # of Loss Periods | Largest Trading Period Gains | Largest Trading Period Losses | Yearly Return |
| 2022 | 34 | 17 | 0 | 17 | 3.3% | -4.6% | 15 | 20 | 11.0% | -9.5% | -29.8% |
| 2021 | 31 | 16 | 0 | 15 | 4.0% | -2.1% | 15 | 16 | 10.2% | -4.6% | 16.5% |
| 2020 | 29 | 14 | 1 | 14 | 4.8% | -2.4% | 17 | 12 | 15.2% | -3.5% | 49.1% |
| 2019 | 30 | 15 | 1 | 14 | 3.6% | -1.7% | 12 | 17 | 8.8% | -3.9% | 13.8% |
| 2018 | 33 | 16 | 2 | 15 | 1.7% | -2.4% | 15 | 15 | 5.0% | -5.1% | -11.0% |
| 2017 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 4.4% | -1.1% | 7 | 7 | 10.1% | -3.1% | 23.6% |
| 2016 | 25 | 13 | 0 | 12 | 2.7% | -2.1% | 8 | 16 | 6.0% | -11.6% | -12.4% |
| 2015 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 3.2% | -1.4% | 11 | 11 | 8.0% | -2.7% | 20.3% |
| 2014 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 5.1% | -1.3% | 6 | 5 | 11.9% | -4.1% | 23.9% |
| 2013 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 4.5% | -0.8% | 8 | 7 | 12.4% | -1.4% | 30.5% |
| 2012 | 27 | 13 | 1 | 13 | 2.7% | -2.1% | 11 | 13 | 12.2% | -12.0% | 2.7% |
| 2011 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 3.2% | -1.4% | 9 | 7 | 8.1% | -2.1% | 18.9% |
| 2010 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 5.5% | -4.7% | 7 | 5 | 20.1% | -14.4% | 14.9% |
| 2009 | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 4.9% | -2.9% | 10 | 6 | 10.0% | -4.5% | 32.2% |
| 2008 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 7.2% | -3.1% | 7 | 7 | 17.8% | -6.0% | 29.1% |
| 2007 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 3.8% | -2.1% | 11 | 6 | 9.7% | -3.7% | 29.4% |
| 2006 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 5.6% | -1.9% | 7 | 4 | 15.5% | -2.8% | 31.9% |
| 2005 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 2.8% | -1.8% | 11 | 7 | 9.0% | -4.4% | 18.7% |
| 2004 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 3.1% | -2.0% | 9 | 8 | 7.0% | -5.5% | 12.1% |
| 2003 | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 4.0% | -1.9% | 11 | 12 | 11.0% | -3.8% | 21.2% |
| 2002 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 6.2% | -3.7% | 14 | 10 | 11.0% | -7.1% | 42.5% |
| 2001 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 15.1% | -5.1% | 8 | 6 | 29.5% | -11.9% | 90.2% |
| 2000 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 7.8% | -5.4% | 8 | 11 | 16.4% | -10.6% | 3.1% |
| Avg. | 21.3 | 10.2 | 1.9 | 9.2 | 4.9% | -2.4% | 9.9 | 9.1 | 12.1% | -5.9% | 23.1% |
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Standard & Poor's 500 Composite Stock Price Index "SPDRs" (AMEX: SPY)
| Year | # of Trades | Long | Cash | Short | Avg. Trading Period Gain | Avg. Trading Period Loss | # of Gain Periods | # of Loss Periods | Largest Trading Period Gains | Largest Trading Period Losses | Yearly Return |
| 2022 | 32 | 16 | 0 | 16 | 2.7% | -2.8% | 13 | 19 | 9.0% | -7.4% | -19.0% |
| 2021 | 33 | 17 | 0 | 16 | 1.9% | -1.4% | 15 | 18 | 6.3% | -2.5% | 2.6% |
| 2020 | 29 | 14 | 1 | 14 | 5.0% | -2.5% | 16 | 13 | 22.1% | -4.8% | 43.4% |
| 2019 | 30 | 15 | 1 | 14 | 2.5% | -1.5% | 13 | 16 | 5.5% | -4.2% | 8.3% |
| 2018 | 31 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 1.5% | -1.9% | 14 | 14 | 4.5% | -4.9% | -4.9% |
| 2017 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 1.7% | -1.9% | 10 | 4 | 5.5% | -2.8% | 9.5% |
| 2016 | 25 | 13 | 0 | 12 | 1.3% | -1.9% | 9 | 15 | 2.9% | -9.9% | -17.7% |
| 2015 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 2.1% | -1.0% | 12 | 10 | 4.8% | -2.6% | 12.6% |
| 2014 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 3.0% | -1.0% | 7 | 4 | 7.7% | -2.2% | 16.8% |
| 2013 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 3.7% | -0.9% | 9 | 6 | 10.0% | -1.7% | 27.5% |
| 2012 | 27 | 13 | 1 | 13 | 1.8% | -2.0% | 13 | 11 | 7.0% | -10.0% | 3.4% |
| 2011 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 2.4% | -1.8% | 10 | 6 | 6.4% | -3.1% | 15.7% |
| 2010 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 5.0% | -3.1% | 6 | 7 | 12.0% | -11.9% | 8.5% |
| 2009 | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 5.5% | -2.2% | 9 | 8 | 7.5% | -4.6% | 32.1% |
| 2008 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 5.8% | -3.2% | 8 | 5 | 17.5% | -6.7% | 30.4% |
| 2007 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 3.0% | -1.6% | 10 | 7 | 7.7% | -3.3% | 18.3% |
| 2006 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 1.8% | -2.2% | 11 | 3 | 4.8% | -3.6% | 13.7% |
| 2005 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 1.9% | -1.0% | 11 | 5 | 5.1% | -1.7% | 16.1% |
| 2004 | 25 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 1.8% | -1.6% | 14 | 9 | 5.6% | -3.8% | 10.0% |
| 2003 | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 2.9% | -1.5% | 12 | 12 | 10.6% | -2.5% | 16.2% |
| 2002 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 4.1% | -2.7% | 13 | 12 | 9.8% | -7.5% | 21.3% |
| 2001 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 5.8% | -2.4% | 7 | 6 | 12.7% | -4.3% | 26.0% |
| 2000 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 3.6% | -2.5% | 10 | 3 | 9.1% | -3.9% | 28.4% |
| Avg. | 21.2 | 10.2 | 1.7 | 9.2 | 3.1% | -1.9% | 10.7 | 8.4 | 8.5% | -4.8% | 16.0% |
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Dow Jones Industrial Average Index "DIAMONDS" (NYSE: DIA)
| Year | # of Trades | Long | Cash | Short | Avg. Trading Period Gain | Avg. Trading Period Loss | # of Gain Periods | # of Loss Periods | Largest Trading Period Gains | Largest Trading Period Losses | Yearly Return |
| 2022 | 32 | 16 | 0 | 16 | 2.3% | -2.6% | 14 | 18 | 7.1% | -5.9% | -16.0% |
| 2021 | 33 | 17 | 0 | 16 | 1.3% | -1.3% | 15 | 18 | 3.9% | -2.8% | -4.6% |
| 2020 | 29 | 14 | 1 | 14 | 5.0% | -2.5% | 16 | 13 | 22.9% | -6.6% | 42.4% |
| 2019 | 30 | 15 | 1 | 14 | 2.2% | -1.4% | 13 | 16 | 4.8% | -4.7% | 5.6% |
| 2018 | 31 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 1.6% | -2.0% | 16 | 12 | 4.3% | -4.6% | 2.3% |
| 2017 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 2.1% | -2.0% | 9 | 5 | 7.4% | -5.3% | 9.0% |
| 2016 | 25 | 13 | 0 | 12 | 0.9% | -2.1% | 10 | 14 | 2.9% | -9.7% | -20.6% |
| 2015 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 2.2% | -1.7% | 13 | 8 | 6.1% | -3.6% | 14.9% |
| 2014 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 2.4% | -1.8% | 8 | 3 | 8.5% | -3.8% | 14.1% |
| 2013 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 3.5% | -0.8% | 10 | 5 | 10.4% | -1.4% | 30.1% |
| 2012 | 27 | 13 | 1 | 13 | 1.7% | -1.6% | 13 | 11 | 4.9% | -7.4% | 5.9% |
| 2011 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 2.7% | -1.5% | 10 | 5 | 8.5% | -2.5% | 19.6% |
| 2010 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 3.9% | -2.7% | 7 | 6 | 9.6% | -9.6% | 10.5% |
| 2009 | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 5.0% | -2.2% | 9 | 8 | 8.2% | -5.3% | 27.7% |
| 2008 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 5.3% | -2.9% | 8 | 5 | 14.6% | -6.5% | 28.0% |
| 2007 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 2.6% | -2.2% | 11 | 6 | 7.3% | -4.5% | 15.7% |
| 2006 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 2.2% | -1.9% | 11 | 3 | 4.6% | -3.4% | 18.3% |
| 2005 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 1.6% | -0.8% | 12 | 6 | 4.2% | -1.3% | 14.5% |
| 2004 | 25 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 1.9% | -1.4% | 13 | 9 | 5.4% | -4.1% | 12.0% |
| 2003 | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 2.9% | -1.6% | 12 | 12 | 10.7% | -3.9% | 15.2% |
| 2002 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 3.8% | -2.8% | 13 | 11 | 9.7% | -6.9% | 18.1% |
| 2001 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 5.6% | -1.3% | 8 | 7 | 12.8% | -3.3% | 35.1% |
| 2000 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 3.7% | -1.3% | 11 | 6 | 9.2% | -2.4% | 33.4% |
| Avg. | 21.3 | 10.3 | 1.7 | 9.3 | 3.0% | -1.8% | 11.1 | 8.1 | 8.4% | -4.8% | 16.8% |
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